Share Value Price Trend
by BIZPEP
Share Value Price Trend provides unique insight to improve share trading and investment performance.
It uses yahoo finance data for current and historical share prices and index levels. Estimated future share earnings (eps) and dividends (dps) from marketscreener are applied to identify future fair value share prices, current price discounts and dividend returns. This provides a basis for direct comparison of the future share price value.
Trend analysis is applied to historical share and index data to calculate trend range with high and low trend points, the trend days duration of trend analysis can be adjusted to review changing trends. Trade trigger points are identified using High / Low trend prices, estimated future value, annual trend slope and growth. Trade input for each code provides a record of target trades.
Data calculations include:
- Indicative annual Trend % based on the historical close value over the Trend Days, positive Trend is green, negative Trend is red.
- Trend High and Low values and % change from current. to Low% less than % Trigger are green indicating a buy level, to High% less than % Trigger are red indicating a sell level. On mouseover or click to Low and to High display the High or Low value.
- Dividend per share % DPS for year 0 actual, and year 1 to year 3 estimates. When DPS % > % Dividend text is green.
- Earnings per share EPS year 0 to year 3 are provided. On mouseover the payout ratio; the amount of earnings paid as dividends; and pe ratio are displayed.
- Fair Value price FV year 0 to year 3 is calculated based on the required % Return, FV = EPS / % Return.
- Fair Value Discount % FVDisc year 0 to year 3 is calculated, FVDisc = ( FV - Current Value ) / Current Value. The Fair Value Discount % indicates the level of current value. When current price is less than year fair value (FV) fair value discount % (FVDisc) is positive and green indicating buy. On mouseover or click FV1Disc and FV3Disc display FV and eps.
- Growth is the equivalent annual EPS Year1 to Year3 % change, positive is green, negative is red.
- Trigger High / Low ,+/-Value (FVY1), +/-Trend,+/-Growth
